すべて金融国内政治国際情勢暗号資産

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Polymarket

Vol: $10.0M

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

1%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

43%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $997K

Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?

4%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in November 2026?

9%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $996K

Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

10%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $994K

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?

3%Yes

Kalshi

Will there be a recession in 2027?

41%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $990K

Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

3%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <98° on Jul 4, 2026?

91%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $990K

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

2%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

42%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $988K

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

6%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in November 2026?

5%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $988K

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

40%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

15%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $100K

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

2%Yes

Kalshi

Will there be a recession in 2026?

9%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $100K

Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

25%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be >105° on Jul 4, 2026?

1%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Austin Reaves play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

1%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

36%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

8%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in November 2026?

4%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

26%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

5%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?

26%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be 98-99° on Jul 4, 2026?

8%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

25%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

53%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?

2%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in November 2026?

4%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?

3%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

6%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

2%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be 104-105° on Jul 4, 2026?

1%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $99K

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?

0%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

62%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)

0%BIG

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.6% for the year ending in November 2026?

4%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?

5%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $129,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

7%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will the Republican Party win the GA-06 House seat?

2%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be 102-103° on Jul 4, 2026?

1%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?

75%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

62%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

7%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in November 2026?

4%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

98%Haaland

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

8%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

97%Yes

Kalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be 100-101° on Jul 4, 2026?

2%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?

39%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

79%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

46%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in November 2026?

96%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on July 4?

0%Yes

Kalshi

Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

4%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

29%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

59%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

O/U 2.5 Rounds

65%Over

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.3% for the year ending in November 2026?

6%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will XRP reach $2.80 in July?

1%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

65%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

14%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in November 2026?

2%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

0%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

75%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?

83%Yes

Kalshi

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in November 2026?

5%Yes

Polymarket

Vol: $10K

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?

14%Yes

Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?

96%Yes

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