Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?
オッズ推移(YES確率)
自動計測開始(2026/08/01 11:54 JST)以降のスナップショットのみを表示しています(4時間ごとに記録)。それ以前の履歴はありません。
マーケット概要・判定基準
現在、「Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?」の YES は 12% で推移しています。前回スナップショット(14%)からは下落傾向です。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場間スプレッド(アービトラージ)
この市場に対応する他プラットフォームの市場は本データセットに登録されていないため、クロスプラットフォームのスプレッドは算出できません。
最終更新 as of 2026/08/24 21:52 JST|SOURCE: Polymarket 公開API(サキヨムが4時間ごとに記録)
掲載する確率・価格はスナップショット時点の市場取引価格に基づく情報であり、将来の結果を保証するものではありません。当サイトは情報提供を目的としており、投資助言ではありません。