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Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

FinancePolymarket
YES PROB5%
NO PROB95%
最終更新: 2026/10/11 23:43 JST

オッズ推移(YES確率)

5%現在のYES
325点
100%75%50%25%0%
7/67/278/1410/11

自動計測開始(2026/07/06 20:16 JST)以降のスナップショットのみを表示しています(4時間ごとに記録)。それ以前の履歴はありません。

マーケット概要・判定基準

サマリー (最新値から自動生成)

現在、「Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?」の YES は 5% で推移しています。前回スナップショット(5%)からは横ばい傾向です。

判定基準

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

市場間スプレッド(アービトラージ)

Polymarket5%
Kalshi比較対象なし

この市場に対応する他プラットフォームの市場は本データセットに登録されていないため、クロスプラットフォームのスプレッドは算出できません。

最終更新 as of 2026/10/11 23:43 JST|SOURCE: Polymarket 公開API(サキヨムが4時間ごとに記録)

掲載する確率・価格はスナップショット時点の市場取引価格に基づく情報であり、将来の結果を保証するものではありません。当サイトは情報提供を目的としており、投資助言ではありません。