Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
オッズ推移（YES確率）
自動計測開始（2026/07/06 20:16 JST）以降のスナップショットのみを表示しています（4時間ごとに記録）。それ以前の履歴はありません。
マーケット概要・判定基準
現在、「Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?」の YES は 1% で推移しています。前回スナップショット（1%）からは横ばい傾向です。
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
市場間スプレッド（アービトラージ）
この市場に対応する他プラットフォームの市場は本データセットに登録されていないため、クロスプラットフォームのスプレッドは算出できません。
最終更新 as of 2026/08/25 05:31 JST|SOURCE: Polymarket 公開API（サキヨムが4時間ごとに記録）
掲載する確率・価格はスナップショット時点の市場取引価格に基づく情報であり、将来の結果を保証するものではありません。当サイトは情報提供を目的としており、投資助言ではありません。